Vitória da Conquista vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 2
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GLO
3 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
6 - 0
VIT
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
1 - 2
POR
65%
21%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
POR
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
GLO
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |