Vitória da Conquista vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
2 - 0
VIT
21%
23%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 3
TRE
45%
28%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
ITA
39%
28%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
ITA
36%
28%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |