Vitória da Conquista vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
65.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
JAC
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 0
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 1
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
SHA
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
COT
3 - 2
BAH
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
GRE
27%
30%
43%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATP
30%
28%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 1
BAH
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |