Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Vitória da Conquista vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 3
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
ALA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
VIT
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 2
BAH
35%
25%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
4 - 0
REM
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 2
BAH
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
REM
2 - 1
BAH
20%
24%
57%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
BAH
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BAH
12%
18%
70%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | -1 |