Vitória da Conquista vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
FEI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
JUA
1 - 0
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
CRB
0 - 1
CSA
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 3
CRB
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CSA
0 - 1
ASA
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 1
CSA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CEO
1 - 1
CSA
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |