Vitória da Conquista vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GLO
3 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
6 - 0
VIT
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
VIT
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
POR
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SOC
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SOC
0 - 2
CON
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |