Vitória da Conquista vs Botafogo BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
CSA
39%
29%
33%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
JAC
27%
24%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
JAC
1 - 0
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
BOT
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
IPI
0 - 3
BOT
61%
19%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |