Vitória da Conquista vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 1
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 2
VIT
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 2
BAH
9%
21%
70%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
BAH
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
6 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
BAH
58%
25%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |