Vitória da Conquista vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
MDE
0 - 0
VIT
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 2
VIT
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
IPI
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 1
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
COL
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
ALA
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 3
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
ALA
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |