Vitesse vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 2
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 0
VIT
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 4
GRO
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 5
AZA
27%
23%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 1
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 3
WIL
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |