Vitesse vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1997 |
VIT
4 - 2
TWE
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
VIT
1 - 1
VOL
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
FEY
0 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
VIT
3 - 2
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
WIL
0 - 2
FEY
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
NAC
0 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |