Vitesse vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
GRO
2 - 0
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1995 |
RKC
0 - 2
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
VIT
0 - 0
RJC
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
FEY
5 - 2
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 1
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
WIL
4 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
GAE
0 - 2
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
WIL
6 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |