Vitesse vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 5
GAE
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 2
VIT
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
21%
25%
53%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
WIL
3 - 2
NEC
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
GAE
3 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 1
ZWO
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 1
WIL
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
TWE
0 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |