Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 2
TWE
28%
25%
48%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
VOL
2 - 2
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 5
RJC
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
FEY
3 - 0
VIT
84%
11%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
ZWO
3 - 2
VVV
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
PSV
0 - 1
ZWO
84%
10%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
ZWO
1 - 1
GAE
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
HFC
2 - 1
ZWO
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
ZWO
0 - 0
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |