Vitesse vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
AZA
3 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
FEY
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCH
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRO
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FCE
2 - 3
UTR
16%
21%
64%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
UTR
1 - 1
FOR
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 4
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |