Vitesse vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
ZWO
2 - 2
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
TWE
2 - 3
VIT
82%
12%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 0
VOL
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 0
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
UTR
2 - 0
VVV
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
PSV
3 - 0
UTR
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
UTR
2 - 1
GAE
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
HFC
0 - 0
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
UTR
2 - 3
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |