Vitesse vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
UTR
4 - 2
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRO
30%
25%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ADO
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
NEC
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 1
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 3
EXC
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |