Vitesse vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
ADO
2 - 0
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
MVV
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
EXC
4 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |