Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
NEC
3 - 1
VIT
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 3
PSV
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 1
TWE
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
RKC
0 - 2
VIT
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 3
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
AZA
3 - 0
NAC
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 2
FEY
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |