Vitesse vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 4
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
3 - 1
RKC
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCH
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 0
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
ZUL
0 - 3
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
ESP
60%
23%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |