Vitesse U18 vs Excelsior U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
1º
1º
9
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
VIT
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 5
VIT
41%
22%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
ADO
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 0
GRA
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 5
VIT
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
39%
21%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 7
HRV
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
6 - 1
EXC
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 3
FDB
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |