Viterbese vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 4
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
ARZ
74%
16%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AST
2 - 3
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 3
CYN
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLB
2 - 2
VIT
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 3
SIR
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
ACI
65%
22%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 0
FRA
33%
28%
40%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
GAL
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
FRA
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |