Viterbese vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
SOR
3 - 1
VIT
32%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
GIU
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
TAR
36%
29%
35%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 0
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 1
TER
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SAS
1 - 1
VIR
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
SSS
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
VIS
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |