Viterbese vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
USV
2 - 2
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
BIS
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 2
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 3
BAR
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
TUR
2 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PAG
1 - 2
TER
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 3
PAG
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
FRA
34%
26%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
USV
5 - 2
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
CAV
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |