Viterbese vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIS
1 - 1
VIT
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 2
GIU
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 1
VIT
30%
28%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAT
4 - 2
VIT
22%
25%
52%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
LAQ
1 - 2
TAR
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 1
LAQ
64%
23%
14%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LAQ
0 - 1
BEN
25%
28%
47%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TER
3 - 0
LAQ
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LAQ
0 - 1
FCC
33%
31%
37%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |