Vitebsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2004 |
TAR
2 - 1
VIT
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
DNM
2 - 1
VIT
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLM
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 3
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
NAF
0 - 2
BAT
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
NAF
0 - 1
SHA
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
ZOR
2 - 4
NAF
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
NAF
2 - 3
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
DNP
0 - 3
NAF
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |