Vis Pesaro vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
VIS
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIS
4 - 2
AVE
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
VIS
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 0
SAN
29%
25%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 2
VIS
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAT
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |