Vis Pesaro vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 0
VIS
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIS
1 - 1
SAM
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VIS
4 - 0
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 3
VIS
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
VIS
4 - 1
OLY
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
FER
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALF
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 0
ASD
18%
20%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 0
ALF
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |