Vis Nova Giussano vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
NOV
40%
23%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 2
NOV
19%
19%
62%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 1
VCB
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SON
0 - 1
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
DES
2 - 1
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |