Vis Nova Giussano vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
OLG
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
USP
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
NIB
2 - 3
NOV
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
SON
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SCA
5 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
FOR
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ACM
5 - 1
ALC
95%
4%
1%
|
29 | 87 | 58 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
ALC
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |