Virtus vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIR
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIR
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
JUV
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 3
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TPE
4 - 3
FIO
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
TPE
19%
23%
59%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 2
TPE
9%
18%
73%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TPE
1 - 1
TFI
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |