Virtus vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VIR
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
DOM
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
JUV
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FAE
2 - 4
VIR
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TPE
3 - 0
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TPE
2 - 0
FOL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 3
TPE
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TPE
1 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 3
TPE
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |