Virtus vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
DOM
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 3
VIR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 1
TPE
20%
22%
59%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
1 - 1
JUV
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
TPE
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
TPE
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |