Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
58%
24%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
VIR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 1
TFI
9%
18%
73%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 1
DOM
72%
17%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
TFI
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TFI
3 - 3
FIO
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 3
TFI
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |