Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
TFI
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 5
VIR
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 0
VIR
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 4
TPE
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
TFI
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
TFI
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TFI
0 - 4
TPE
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 3
FOL
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |