Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 5
VIR
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 0
VIR
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 4
TPE
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VIR
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TFI
0 - 4
TPE
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 3
FOL
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
TFI
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 0
DOM
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |