Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 5
COS
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 1
VIR
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
JUV
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 1
TFI
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
TFI
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TFI
1 - 2
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |