Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 5
COS
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 1
VIR
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
JUV
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 1
TFI
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
TFI
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TFI
1 - 2
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 3
LIB
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |