Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SGI
4 - 3
VIR
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 3
TPE
35%
26%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
DOM
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TFI
3 - 2
DOM
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 5
DOM
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 2
LIB
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |