Virtus vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 3
VIR
7%
18%
75%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 2
VIR
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
COS
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SGI
9 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
7%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 4
SGI
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SGI
3 - 1
DOM
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 1
LIB
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |