Virtus vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 2
FOL
16%
21%
64%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIR
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 1
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 2
VIR
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 1
MUR
28%
22%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
DOM
3 - 1
SGI
70%
18%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SGI
1 - 0
PEN
23%
25%
53%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 1
SGI
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 4
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |