Virtus vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TFI
5 - 2
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 8
TPE
18%
23%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 2
VIR
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
VIR
4 - 2
FAE
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 5
TFI
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 1
SGI
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 1
PEN
30%
23%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 2
MUR
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |