Virtus vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 2
LIB
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
VIR
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
VIR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SGI
0 - 3
FIO
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
SGI
65%
18%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 4
TPE
14%
20%
66%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DOM
5 - 1
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SGI
2 - 4
FAE
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |