Virtus vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
TFI
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 2
VIR
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
44%
25%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 2
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 3
SGI
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 1
CAI
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 5
PEN
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |