Virtus vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 2
VIR
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
VIR
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 3
VIR
36%
23%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
2 - 2
VIR
36%
25%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SGI
1 - 2
DOM
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
5 - 0
SGI
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SGI
3 - 3
FIO
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 1
SGI
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 0
SGI
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | +1 |