Virtus vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TFI
5 - 2
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 8
TPE
18%
23%
60%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 2
VIR
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
VIR
4 - 2
FAE
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 8
VIR
14%
19%
67%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 1
PEN
30%
23%
46%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
TPE
3 - 1
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
COS
27%
22%
51%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 4
DOM
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |