Virtus vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 2
FIO
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TPE
3 - 1
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SGI
1 - 4
PEN
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 1
JUV
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |