Virtus vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
VIR
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
3 - 0
SGI
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
TFI
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
FIO
34%
24%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
TFI
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |