Virtus vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
DOM
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 3
VIR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 3
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
FAE
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |