Virtus vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 2
VIR
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
VIR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 3
VIR
36%
23%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
TPE
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 1
DOM
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 0
LIB
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 0
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |